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Creators/Authors contains: "Lev, Omer"

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  1. We consider the problem of determining a binary ground truth using advice from a group of independent reviewers (experts) who express their guess about a ground truth correctly with some independent probability (competence) 𝑝 . In this setting, when all reviewers 𝑖 are competent with 𝑝 ≥ 0.5, the Condorcet Jury Theorem tells us that adding more reviewers increases the overall accuracy, and if all 𝑝 ’s are known, then there exists an optimal weighting of the 𝑖 reviewers. However, in practical settings, reviewers may be noisy or incompetent, i.e., 𝑝𝑖 ≤ 0.5, and the number of experts may be small, so the asymptotic Condorcet Jury Theorem is not practically relevant. In such cases we explore appointing one or more chairs ( judges) who determine the weight of each reviewer for aggregation, creating multiple levels. However, these chairs may be unable to correctly identify the competence of the reviewers they oversee, and therefore unable to compute the optimal weighting. We give conditions on when a set of chairs is able to weight the reviewers optimally, and depending on the competence distribution of the agents, give results about when it is better to have more chairs or more reviewers. Through simulations we show that in some cases it is better to have more chairs, but in many cases it is better to have more reviewers. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
  2. We consider the problem of determining a binary ground truth using advice from a group of independent reviewers (experts) who express their guess about a ground truth correctly with some independent probability (competence) $$p_i$$. In this setting, when all reviewers are competent with $$p \geq 0.5$$, the Condorcet Jury Theorem tells us that adding more reviewers increases the overall accuracy, and if all $$p_i$$'s are known, then there exists an optimal weighting of the reviewers. However, in practical settings, reviewers may be noisy or incompetent, i.e., $$p_i \leq 0.5$$, and the number of experts may be small, so the asymptotic Condorcet Jury Theorem is not practically relevant. In such cases we explore appointing one or more chairs (judges) who determine the weight of each reviewer for aggregation, creating multiple levels. However, these chairs may be unable to correctly identify the competence of the reviewers they oversee, and therefore unable to compute the optimal weighting. We give conditions on when a set of chairs is able to weight the reviewers optimally, and depending on the competence distribution of the agents, give results about when it is better to have more chairs or more reviewers. Through simulations we show that in some cases it is better to have more chairs, but in many cases it is better to have more reviewers. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 30, 2025
  3. The study of peer selection mechanisms presents a unique opportunity to understand and improve the practice of a group selecting its best members, despite each member of that group wanting to be selected. A prime example of such a setting is academic peer review, for which peer selection offers a variety of improvement directions. We present an annotated reading list covering the foundations of peer selection as well as recent and emerging work within the field. 
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  4. We investigate the problem of determining a binary ground truth using advice from a group of independent reviewers (experts) who express their guess about a ground truth correctly with some independent probability (competence) p_i. In this setting, when all reviewers are competent with p >= 0.5, the Condorcet Jury Theorem tells us that adding more reviewers increases the overall accuracy, and if all p_i's are known, then there exists an optimal weighting of the reviewers. However, in practical settings, reviewers may be noisy or incompetent, i.e., p_i < 0.5, and the number of experts may be small, so the asymptotic Condorcet Jury Theorem is not practically relevant. In such cases we explore appointing one or more chairs (judges) who determine the weight of each reviewer for aggregation, creating multiple levels. However, these chairs may be unable to correctly identify the competence of the reviewers they oversee, and therefore unable to compute the optimal weighting. We give conditions when a set of chairs is able to weight the reviewers optimally, and depending on the competence distribution of the agents, give results about when it is better to have more chairs or more reviewers. Through numerical simulations we show that in some cases it is better to have more chairs, but in many cases it is better to have more reviewers. 
    more » « less